Arbeitspapier

Can the learnability criterion ensure determinacy in New Keynesian models?

Forward-looking RE models such as the popular New Keynesian (NK) model do not provide a unique prediction about how the model economy behaves. We need some mechanism that ensures determinacy. McCallum (2011) says it is not needed because models are learnable only with the determinate solution and so the NK model, once learnt in this way, will be determinate. We agree: the only learnable solution that has agents converge on the true NK model is the bubble-free one. But once they have converged they must then understand the model and its full solution therefore including the bubble. Hence the learnability criterion still fails to pick a unique RE solution in NK models.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2012/16

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Expectations; Speculations
Thema
New-Keynesian
Taylor Rule
Determinacy
E-stability
Learnability
Neukeynesianische Makroökonomik
Regression
Lernen
Rationale Erwartung
Taylor-Regel
Theorie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Minford, Patrick
Srinivasan, Naveen
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(wo)
Cardiff
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Minford, Patrick
  • Srinivasan, Naveen
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Entstanden

  • 2012

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