Arbeitspapier

Is low inflation really causing the decline in exchange rate pass-through?

Recent literature has argued that exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into domestic inflation has been declining in many countries following a dramatic change in inflation environment during the 1990s. Available empirical results face two central challenges: (i) the evidence on declining ERPT is mostly based on sample-splitting approaches and hence subject to a degree of arbitrariness; and (ii) the link between a lower ERPT and inflation environment is usually based on simple correlation analysis and hence silent about temporal causality. We address these issues by making use of a state-space model that allows ERPT to be time-varying and dependent on the inflation environment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: School of Economics Discussion Papers ; No. 10,02

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System; Payment Systems
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Foreign Exchange
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
exchange rate pass-through
inflation
state-space models
causality tests
Geldpolitik
Inflationsrate
Exchange Rate Pass-Through
Kausalanalyse

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Nogueira Júnior, Reginaldo P.
León-Ledesma, Miguel A.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Kent, School of Economics
(where)
Canterbury
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Nogueira Júnior, Reginaldo P.
  • León-Ledesma, Miguel A.
  • University of Kent, School of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2010

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