Arbeitspapier

Systemic risk in clearing houses: Evidence from the European repo market

How do crises affect Central clearing Counterparties (CCPs)? We focus on CCPs that clear and guarantee a large and safe segment of the repo market during the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. We start by developing a simple framework to infer CCP stress, which can be measured through the sensitivity of repo rates to sovereign CDS spreads. Such sensitivity jointly captures three effects: (1) the effectiveness of the haircut policy, (2) CCP member default risk (conditional on sovereign default) and (3) CCP default risk (conditional on both sovereign and CCP member default). The data show that, during the sovereign debt crisis of 2011, repo rates strongly respond to movements in sovereign risk, in particular for GIIPS countries, indicating significant CCP stress. Our model suggests that repo investors behaved as if the conditional probability of CCP default was very large.

ISBN
978-92-95081-37-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ESRB Working Paper Series ; No. 10

Classification
Wirtschaft
Central Banks and Their Policies
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Financial Crises
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
repurchase agreement
sovereign debt crisis
LTRO
secured money market lending
clearing houses

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Boissel, Charles
Derrien, François
Örs, Evren
Thesmar, David
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), European System of Financial Supervision
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2016

DOI
doi:10.2849/202802
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Boissel, Charles
  • Derrien, François
  • Örs, Evren
  • Thesmar, David
  • European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), European System of Financial Supervision

Time of origin

  • 2016

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