Arbeitspapier

How Best to Use the Extraordinary Hydrocarbon Revenues in Bolivia: Results from a Computable General Equilibrium Model

The high oil prices and the sharp increases in royalties mean that the natural gas boom in Bolivia has become very important for the economy, and particularly important as a source of government revenues. Using a CGE model, Andersen et al (2006) show that the natural gas boom is likely to boost GDP growth by about 1 percentage point per year. However, if the government continues with past spending and investment patterns, the boom is also likely to have a very adverse effect on the income distribution, so much so that the poorest half of the population is likely to experience absolute reductions in their real income levels compared to a scenario without gas boom. The present paper explores alternative uses of natural gas revenues in the CGE model to see if a better outcome can be engineered.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Development Research Working Paper Series ; No. 14/2006

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Resource Booms
Energy and the Macroeconomy
Thema
Natural Gas
Inequality
CGE model
Bolivia

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Andersen, Lykke E.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for Advanced Development Studies (INESAD)
(wo)
La Paz
(wann)
2006

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Andersen, Lykke E.
  • Institute for Advanced Development Studies (INESAD)

Entstanden

  • 2006

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