Arbeitspapier
Fiscal forecasting: lessons from the literature and challenges
While fiscal forecasting and monitoring has its roots in the accountability of governments for the use of public funds in democracies, the Stability and Growth Pact has significantly increased interest in budgetary forecasts in Europe, where they play a key role in the EU multilateral budgetary surveillance. In view of the increased prominence and sensitivity of budgetary forecasts, which may lead to them being influenced by strategic and political factors, this paper discusses the main issues and challenges in the field of fiscal forecasting from a practitioner’s perspective and places them in the context of the related literature.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 843
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
- Thema
-
Fiscal policies
forecasting
government budget
monitoring
Finanzpolitik
Öffentlicher Haushalt
Wirtschaftsprognose
Prognoseverfahren
Vergleich
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Leal, Teresa
Pérez, Javier J.
Tujula, Mika
Vidal, Jean-Pierre
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
European Central Bank (ECB)
- (wo)
-
Frankfurt a. M.
- (wann)
-
2007
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Leal, Teresa
- Pérez, Javier J.
- Tujula, Mika
- Vidal, Jean-Pierre
- European Central Bank (ECB)
Entstanden
- 2007