Arbeitspapier

The effects of discontinuing machine learning decision support

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Advances in Machine Learning (ML) led organizations to increasingly implement predictive decision aids intended to improve employees' decision-making performance. While such systems improve organizational efficiency in many contexts, they might be a double-edged sword when there is the danger of a system discontinuance. Following cognitive theories, the provision of ML-based predictions can adversely affect the development of decision-making skills that come to light when people lose access to the system. The purpose of this study is to put this assertion to the test. Using a novel experiment specifically tailored to deal with organizational obstacles and endogeneity concerns, we show that the initial provision of ML decision aids can latently prevent the development of decision-making skills which later becomes apparent when the system gets discontinued. We also find that the degree to which individuals "blindly" trust observed predictions determines the ultimate performance drop in the post-discontinuance phase. Our results suggest that making it clear to people that ML decision aids are imperfect can have its benefits especially if there is a reasonable danger of (temporary) system discontinuances.

Language: Englisch

Bibliographic citation: Series: SAFE Working Paper ; No. 370

Classification: Wirtschaft

Event: Geistige Schöpfung

(who): Bauer, Kevin
Nofer, Michael
Abdel-Karim, Benjamin M.
Hinz, Oliver

Event: Veröffentlichung

(who): Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE

(where): Frankfurt a. M.

(when): 2022

DOI: doi:10.2139/ssrn.4299664

Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/266691

Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

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Object type

Arbeitspapier

Associated

Bauer, Kevin
Nofer, Michael
Abdel-Karim, Benjamin M.
Hinz, Oliver
Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE

Time of origin

2022

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