Arbeitspapier

The timing of uncertainty shocks in a small open economy

Foreign measures of uncertainty, such as the US EPU index, are often used as a proxies for domestic uncertainty in small open economies. We construct an EPU index for Sweden and demonstrate that shocks to the domestic index yield different impulse response functions for GDP growth than shocks to the US index. In particular, a one standard deviation shock to the Swedish index delivers its maximum impact in the same quarter, lowering GDP growth by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, a shock to the US index delivers its maximum impact with a one-quarter delay. Other foreign proxies, such as the EU and German indices, also generate effects that peak with a one-quarter delay.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 334

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty: General
General Outlook and Conditions
Open Economy Macroeconomics
International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Thema
economic uncertainty
policy uncertainty
business cycles
small open economy

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Armelius, Hanna
Hull, Isaiah
Köhler, Hanna Stenbacka
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Sveriges Riksbank
(wo)
Stockholm
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Armelius, Hanna
  • Hull, Isaiah
  • Köhler, Hanna Stenbacka
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Entstanden

  • 2016

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