Arbeitspapier

Test of the German resilience

From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany's formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external demand, in turn, has elevated German GDP growth volatility by advanced countries' standards, keeping domestic consumption growth at surprisingly low levels. As a consequence, despite the size of its economy and important labor market reforms, Germany's ability to act as global locomotive has been limited. With increasing competition in its traditional areas of manufacturing, a more domestically-driven growth dynamic, especially in the production and delivery of services, will be good for Germany and for the global economy. Absent such an effort, German growth will remain constrained, and Germany will play only a modest role in spurring growth elsewhere.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFS Working Paper ; No. 2012/14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: Europe: 1913-
Economywide Country Studies: Europe
Comparative Studies of Particular Economies
Subject
Economic Performance
Economic Reforms
Economic Recovery
Current Account
Productivity
Labor Market
Spillovers
Germany
Wirtschaftswachstum
Konjunkturzusammenhang
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bornhorst, Fabian
Mody, Ashoka
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2012

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-268775
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bornhorst, Fabian
  • Mody, Ashoka
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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