Arbeitspapier

Why and how to integrate liquidity risk into a VaR-framework

We integrate liquidity risk measured by the weighted spread into a Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework. The weighted spread measure extracts liquidity costs by order size from the limit order book. We show that it is precise from a risk perspective in a wide range of clearly defined situations. Using a unique, representative data set provided by Deutsche Boerse AG, we find liquidity risk to increase traditionally-measured price risk by over 25%, even at standard 10-day horizons and for liquid DAX stocks. We also show that the common approach of simply adding liquidity risk to price risk substantially overestimates total risk because correlation between liquidity and price is neglected. Our results are robust with respect to changes in risk measure, to sample periods and to effects of portfolio diversification.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2008-10

Classification
Wirtschaft
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Subject
asset liquidity
price impact
weighted spread
Xetra Liquidity Measure (XLM)
Value-at-Risk
market liquidity risk
Wertpapierhandel
Börsenkurs
Risikomaß
Marktrisiko

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Stange, Sebastian
Kaserer, Christoph
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Technische Universität München, Center for Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS)
(where)
München
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Stange, Sebastian
  • Kaserer, Christoph
  • Technische Universität München, Center for Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS)

Time of origin

  • 2008

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