Arbeitspapier

Oil price shocks and the hedging benefit of airline investments

In the light of finite oil reserves, Persian Gulf oil-exporting economies have recently undertaken major investments in their domestic travel and tourism industries. Building on the Bayesian SVAR model of the global oil market in Baumeister and Hamilton (2019), we investigate the conditional comovement of airline stock returns with real oil prices in response to structural oil supply and demand shocks. We find that investing in the Datastream World Airline Index offers a hedging benefit conditional on oil supply, consumption demand, and inventory demand shocks, whereas there is no evidence of systematic positive or negative comovement following shocks to world economic activity and airline stock returns.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2114

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
Air Transportation
Energy: Demand and Supply; Prices
Thema
Airline excess returns
Bayesian SVAR model
Hedging
Oil price shocks

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Güntner, Jochen
Öhlinger, Peter
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Department of Economics
(wo)
Linz
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Güntner, Jochen
  • Öhlinger, Peter
  • Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2021

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