Artikel

The effect of government debt and other determinants on economic growth: The Greek experience

This study empirically investigates the relationship between economic growth and several factors (investment, private and government consumption, trade openness, population growth and government debt) in Greece, where imbalances persist several years after the financial crisis. The results reveal a long-run relationship between variables. Investment as private and government consumption and trade openness affect positively growth. On the other hand, there is a negative long-run effect of government debt and population growth on growth. Furthermore, the study addresses the issue of break effects between government debt and economic growth. The results indicate that the relationship between debt and growth depends on the debt breaks. Specifically, at debt levels before 2000, increases in the government debt-to-GDP ratio are associated with insignificant effects on economic growth. However, as government debt rises after 2000, the effect on economic growth diminishes rapidly and the growth impacts become negative. The challenge for policy makers in Greece is to halt the rising of government debt by keeping a sustainable growth path. Fiscal discipline should be combined with the implementation of coherent, consistent and sequential growth-enhancing structural reforms.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Economies ; ISSN: 2227-7099 ; Volume: 6 ; Year: 2018 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-19 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Subject
government debt
economic growth
investment
consumption
trade
Greece

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pegkas, Panagiotis
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2018

DOI
doi:10.3390/economies6010010
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Pegkas, Panagiotis
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2018

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