Arbeitspapier

How important are the international financial market imperfections for the foreign exchange rate dynamics: A study of the sterling exchange rate

The UK has been a net debtor over the past two decades and the sterling exchange rates are sensitive to any chaos that might occur in the Financial market. This paper examines the importance of the inter-national financial imperfections in the sterling exchange rate dynamics. We build a small open economy DSGE model with the constrained international financial institutions that intermediate capital flows, and derive tractable analytical solutions. The constraint works to introduce a wedge between lending and borrowing rates, which compensates financiers for their currency risk-taking. The model has been estimated by using a simulation-based Indirect Inference approach, which provides a natural framework for testing the hypothesis implied by the model. We find that the model cannot be rejected by the UK data. Shocks to financial forces are the main driving forces behind the large and sudden depreciation of the Sterling exchange rates in the aftermath of the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the Brexit vote. Furthermore, the optimal policy rules have been proposed.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2018/11

Classification
Wirtschaft
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Foreign Exchange
International Lending and Debt Problems
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
Small open economy DSGE model
International financial imperfections
Sterling exchange rates
Indirect Inference
Crisis
Policy rules

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Dong, Xue
Minford, Patrick
Meenagh, David
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Dong, Xue
  • Minford, Patrick
  • Meenagh, David
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2018

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