Arbeitspapier

Is Employment Polarization Informative about Wage Inequality and Is Employment Really Polarizing?

Equating a job with an individual rather than an occupation, we re-examine whether U.S. workers are increasingly concentrated in low and high-wage jobs relative to middle-wage jobs, a phenomenon known as employment polarization. By assigning workers in the CPS to real hourly wage bins with time-invariant thresholds and tracking over time the shares of workers in each, we do find a decline since 1973 in the share of workers earning middle wages. However, we find that a strong increase in the share of workers in the top bin is accompanied by a slight decline in the share in the bottom bin, inconsistent with employment polarization. Turning to occupation-based analysis, we show that the share of employment in low-wage occupations is trending up only from 2002-2012, and that the apparent earlier growth and therefore polarization found in the literature is an artefact of occupation code redefinitions. This new timing rules out the hypothesis that computerization and automation lie behind both rising wage inequality and occupation-based employment polarization in the United States.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 12472

Classification
Wirtschaft
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
Subject
employment polarization
wage inequality

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hunt, Jennifer
Nunn, Ryan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hunt, Jennifer
  • Nunn, Ryan
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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