Artikel

VIX futures as a market timing indicator

Our work relates to the literature supporting that the VIX also mirrors investor sentiment and, thus, contains useful information regarding future S&P500 returns. The objective of this empirical analysis is to verify if the shape of the volatility futures term structure has signaling effects regarding future equity price movements, as several investors believe. Our findings generally support the hypothesis that the VIX term structure can be employed as a contrarian market timing indicator. The empirical analysis of this study has important practical implications for financial market practitioners, as it shows that they can use the VIX futures term structure not only as a proxy of market expectations on forward volatility, but also as a stock market timing tool.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Journal of Risk and Financial Management ; ISSN: 1911-8074 ; Volume: 12 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-9 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
VIX futures
volatility term structure
future equity returns
S&P500

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fassas, Athanasios P.
Hourvouliades, Nikolas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.3390/jrfm12030113
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Fassas, Athanasios P.
  • Hourvouliades, Nikolas
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2019

Other Objects (12)