Arbeitspapier

Uncertain fiscal consolidations

The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal consolidations whose timing and composition - either tax- or spending-based - are uncertain. We find that the composition of the fiscal consolidation, its duration, the monetary policy stance, the level of government debt, and expectations over the likelihood and composition of fiscal consolidations all matter in determining the extent to which a given consolidation is expansionary or successful in stabilizing government debt. We argue that the conditions that could render fiscal consolidation efforts expansionary are unlikely to apply in the current economic environment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2013-26

Classification
Wirtschaft
National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General
Fiscal Policy
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General
Subject
Fiscal policy
Uncertainty and monetary policy
Economic models

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bi, Huixin
Leeper, Eric M.
Leith, Campbell
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2013

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2013-26
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bi, Huixin
  • Leeper, Eric M.
  • Leith, Campbell
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2013

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