Arbeitspapier

Skill-biased technological change and the business cycle

Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions. Hours fall in response to skill-biased technology shocks, indicating that at least part of the technology-induced fall in total hours is due to a compositional shift in labor demand. Investment-specific technology shocks reduce the skill premium, indicating that capital and skill are not complementary in aggregate production.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1775

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Subject
skill-biased technology
skill premium
VAR
long-run restrictions
capital-skill complementarity
business cycle
Technischer Fortschritt
Qualifikation
Konjunktur
VAR-Modell
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Balleer, Almut
Van Rens, Thijs
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Balleer, Almut
  • Van Rens, Thijs
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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