Arbeitspapier

The causal linkages between sovereign CDS prices for the BRICS and major European economies

The article examines causal relationships between sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) prices for the BRICS and most important EU economies (Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Spain) during the European debt crisis. The cross-correlation function (CCF) approach used in the research distinguishes between causality-in-mean and causality-in-variance. In both causality dimensions, the BRICS CDS prices tend to Granger cause those of the EU counterparts with the exception of Germany. Italy and Spain exhibit the highest dependence on the BRICS, whereas only India has a negative balance of outgoing and incoming causal linkages among the BRICS. Thus, the paper underscores the signs of decoupling effects in the sovereign CDS market and also supports the view that the European debt crisis has so far had a limited non-EU impact in this market.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Economics Discussion Papers ; No. 2014-9

Classification
Wirtschaft
Econometric Modeling: General
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
International Financial Markets
Subject
sovereign credit default swaps (CDS)
causality-in-mean
causality-in-variance
European debt crisis
BRICS
decoupling

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Stolbov, Mikhail
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Stolbov, Mikhail
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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