Arbeitspapier

Who wins and who loses from state subsidies?

China is perceived to rely on subsidizing firms in targeted industries to improve their performance and stay competitive. We implement an approach that allows for the joint estimation of direct and indirect effects of subsidies on subsidized and non-subsidized firms. We find that firms that receive subsidies experience a boost for productivity. However, our approach highlights the importance of indirect effects, which are generally neglected in the literature. We find that, in general but not always, non-subsidized firms experience reductions in their productivity growth if they operate in a cluster where other firms are subsidized. These negative externalities depend on the share of firms that receive subsidies in the cluster. Aggregating direct and indirect effects into a (weighted) total effect shows that this negative indirect effect tends to dominate. We interpret our results in the light of a simple heterogenous firm type model, which highlights that subsidization, in a competitive environment of firms, may potentially harm non-subsidized firms.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 2220

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Firm
Firm Performance: Size, Diversification, and Scope
Subject
Subsidies
Firm performance
Treatment effects
Externalities
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Du, Jun
Girma, Sourafel
Görg, Holger
Stepanok, Ignat
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Du, Jun
  • Girma, Sourafel
  • Görg, Holger
  • Stepanok, Ignat
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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