Arbeitspapier

Determinants of economic growth: will data tell?

Many factors inhibiting and facilitating economic growth have been suggested. Will international income data tell which matter when all are treated symmetrically a priori? We find that growth determinants emerging from agnostic Bayesian model averaging and classical model selection procedures are sensitive to income differences across datasets. For example, many of the 1975-1996 growth determinants according to World Bank income data turn out to be irrelevant when using Penn World Table data instead (the WB adjusts for purchasing power using a slightly different methodology). And each revision of the 1960-1996 PWT income data brings substantial changes regarding growth determinants. We show that research based on stronger priors about potential growth determinants is more robust to imperfect international income data.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 852

Classification
Wirtschaft
Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Subject
Growth regressions
robust growth determinants
Wirtschaftswachstum
Internationale Wirtschaft
Vergleich
Datenqualität
Einkommen
Statistik
Theorie
Bayes-Statistik

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ciccone, Antonio
Jarociński, Marek
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ciccone, Antonio
  • Jarociński, Marek
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2008

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