Arbeitspapier

Limits to arbitrage in markets with stochastic settlement latency

Distributed ledger technologies rely on consensus protocols confronting traders with random waiting times until the transfer of ownership is accomplished. This time consuming settlement process exposes arbitrageurs to price risk and imposes limits to arbitrage. We derive theoretical arbitrage boundaries under general assumptions and show that they increase with expected latency, latency uncertainty, spot volatility, and risk aversion. Using high-frequency data from the Bitcoin network, we estimate arbitrage boundaries due to settlement latency of on average 124 basis points, covering 88% of the observed cross-exchange price differences. Settlement through decentralized systems thus induces non-trivial frictions affecting market efficiency and price formation.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFS Working Paper Series ; No. 616

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Economics: General
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Subject
Arbitrage
Settlement Latency
Distributed Ledger
Blockchain

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hautsch, Nikolaus
Scheuch, Christoph
Voigt, Stefan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2018

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-480536
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hautsch, Nikolaus
  • Scheuch, Christoph
  • Voigt, Stefan
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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