Arbeitspapier

Business cycle effects of credit and technology shocks in a DSGE model with firm defaults

This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the impacts of credit and technology shocks on business cycle dynamics, where firms rely on banks and households for capital financing. Firms are identical ex ante but differ ex post due to different realizations of firm specific technology shocks, possibly leading to default by some firms. The paper advances a new modelling approach for the analysis of financial intermediation and firm defaults that takes account of the financial implications of such defaults for both households and banks. Results from a calibrated version of the model highlights the role of financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined as a rise in the loan to deposit ratio, increases output, consumption, hours and productivity, and reduces the spread between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and habit persistence in consumption behaviour.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3609

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
bank credit
financial intermediation
firm heterogeneity and defaults
interest rate spread
real financial linkages

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pesaran, M. Hashem
Xu, TengTeng
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Pesaran, M. Hashem
  • Xu, TengTeng
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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