Arbeitspapier
On the suitability of alternative competitiveness indicators for explaining real exports of advanced economies
Real exports are commonly specified as depending on an indicator of price competitiveness and on a measure of foreign activity. This study empirically investigates the suitability of alternative competitiveness indicators in explaining real exports for a broad group of advanced economies. To this end, a panel cointegration analysis is conducted, augmented by a forecasting exercise. In the latter, repeated sampling techniques are used in order to avoid arbitrary sample splits. We find that broad price- and cost-based indicators are to be preferred to narrow price based measures such as CPI- or PPI-deflated real exchange rates. Furthermore, the evidence points towards using world trade as the external activity variable instead of GDP- or real imports-based measures.
- ISBN
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978-3-95729-300-8
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 36/2016
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Empirical Studies of Trade
Foreign Exchange
Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- Subject
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international price competitiveness
real export demand
price elasticity of exports
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Fischer, Christoph
Hossfeld, Oliver
Radeck, Karin
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Deutsche Bundesbank
- (where)
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Frankfurt a. M.
- (when)
-
2016
- Handle
- Last update
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Fischer, Christoph
- Hossfeld, Oliver
- Radeck, Karin
- Deutsche Bundesbank
Time of origin
- 2016
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