Arbeitspapier

Can countries rely on foreign saving for investment and economic development?

A surprisingly large number of countries have been able to finance a significant fraction of domestic investment using foreign finance for extended periods. While many of these episodes are in low-income countries where official finance is more important than private finance, we also identify a number of episodes where a substantial fraction of domestic investment was financed via private capital inflows. That said, we find that foreign savings are not a good substitute for domestic savings. More often than not, episodes of large and persistent current account deficits do not end happily. Rather, they end abruptly with compression of the current account, real exchange rate depreciation, and a sharp slowdown in investment. We conclude that financing growth and investment out of foreign savings, while not impossible, is risky.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies Working Paper ; No. HEIDWP07-2016

Classification
Wirtschaft
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
Subject
current account
growth
volatility
savings

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cavallo, Eduardo
Eichengreen, Barry
Panizza, Ugo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies
(where)
Geneva
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cavallo, Eduardo
  • Eichengreen, Barry
  • Panizza, Ugo
  • Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies

Time of origin

  • 2016

Other Objects (12)