Arbeitspapier

Religiosity and long-run productivity growth

In this paper, we show, using a panel of developed countries, that there is a long-run negative association between church attendance and total factor productivity (TFP) with predictive causality running from declining church attendance to increasing factor productivity. According to our preferred estimate, about 18% of the increase in TFP from 1950 to 1990 is caused by declining religiosity. In order to explain this phenomenon, we integrate into standard R&D-based growth theory a micro-foundation of individual cognitive style, which is either intuitive-believing or reflective-analytical. Under the assumption that R&D productivity is positively influenced by a reflectiveanalytical cognitive style, we find that secularization leads to an increasing labor share in R&D and gradually increasing productivity growth. We use these insights to reflect on trends in religiosity and R&D-based growth in the very long run, from Enlightenment to the present day.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: cege Discussion Papers ; No. 284

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: General, International, or Comparative
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
religiosity
church attendance
factor productivity
cognitive style
R&D-based growth

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Herzer, Dierk
Strulik, Holger
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Göttingen, Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research (cege)
(where)
Göttingen
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Herzer, Dierk
  • Strulik, Holger
  • University of Göttingen, Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research (cege)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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