Arbeitspapier

China's business cycles: Perspectives from an AD-AS model

This paper represents a first attempt to study China’s business cycles using a formal analytical framework, namely, a structural VAR model. It is found that: (a) demand shocks were the dominant source of macroeconomic fluctuations, but supply shocks had gained more importance over time; (b) the driving forces of demand shocks were consumption and fixed investment in the first cycle of 1985–90, but shifted to fixed investment and world demand in the second cycle of 1991–96 and the post-1997 deflation period; and (c) macroeconomic policies did not play an important part either in initiating or counteracting cyclical fluctuations.

ISBN
9291906433
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: WIDER Research Paper ; No. 2004/54

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation
Thema
business cycle
structural VAR
demand shocks
supply shocks
China
Konjunktur
Schock
VAR-Modell
China

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Zhang, Yin
Wan, Guanghua
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Zhang, Yin
  • Wan, Guanghua
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Entstanden

  • 2004

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