Arbeitspapier
Rainfall forecasts, weather and wages over the agricultural production cycle
We look at the effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages over the course of the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages. Using Indian household panel data describing early-season migration and district-level planting- and harveststage wages over the period 2005-2010, we find results consistent with the model, indicating that rainfall forecasts improve labor allocations on average but exacerbate wage volatility because they are imperfect.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper ; No. 1036
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
- Thema
-
wages
forecasting
migration
Niederschlag
Prognose
Agrarberufe
Lohn
Volatilität
Agrarproduktion
Produktlebenszyklus
Indien
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Rosenzweig, Mark R.
Udry, Christopher
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Yale University, Economic Growth Center
- (wo)
-
New Haven, CT
- (wann)
-
2014
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Rosenzweig, Mark R.
- Udry, Christopher
- Yale University, Economic Growth Center
Entstanden
- 2014
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