Arbeitspapier

What explains the spread between the euro overnight rate and the ECB's policy rate?

We employ a time series econometric framework to explore the structural determinants of the spread between the European Overnight Rate and the ECB’s Policy Rate (EONIA spread) aiming to explain the widening of the EONIA spread from mid-2004 to mid-2006. In particular, we estimate a model on the EONIA spread since the introduction of the new operational framework in March 2004 until August 2006. We show that the increase in the EONIA spread can for the largest part be explained by the current liquidity deficit. Moreover, tight liquidity conditions as well as an increase in banks’ liquidity uncertainty lead to a significant upward pressure on the spread. The ECB’s liquidity policy only reduces the spread if a loose policy is conducted during the last week of a maintenance period. Interestingly, interest rate expectations have not been found to have an important influence.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 983

Classification
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Monetary Policy
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Subject
Interest Rate Determination
monetary policy implementation
operational framework
Overnight Market Rate (EONIA)
Zinsstruktur
Geldmarkt
Zinspolitik
Bankenliquidität
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Linzert, Tobias
Schmidt, Sandra
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Linzert, Tobias
  • Schmidt, Sandra
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2008

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