Arbeitspapier

What Drives Aggregate Investment?

Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment fluctuations. We estimate an upper bound for the contribution of technology shocks to the variance of the aggregate investment growth rate of 19 percent. The larger part of fluctuations in aggregate investment can be attributed to finance and demand shocks, which we also extract from the survey data.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4218

Classification
Wirtschaft
Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Subject
technology shocks
investment dynamics
investment determinants
survey data

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bachmann, Ruediger
Zorn, Peter
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bachmann, Ruediger
  • Zorn, Peter
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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