Arbeitspapier

The fiscal lifetime cost of receiving refugees

This study estimates the fiscal consequences of receiving refugees, over the refugees' lifetime. It uses data from Sweden in 2015, and the calculations account for refugees' age, years since immigration, and country of origin. The estimated average annual fiscal net contribution over the lifetime of the average refugee (58 years) ranges from -12 per cent of GDP per capita for refugees from the countries of origin for which labor market performance has historically been the strongest, to -22 per cent for those for which it has been the weakest. The estimates imply that if the European Union received all refugees currently in Asia and Africa, the implied average annual fiscal cost over the same time span would be at most 0.6 per cent of GDP.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CReAM Discussion Paper Series ; No. 02/19

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Migration
Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General
National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Subject
refugees
immigration
public finances

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ruist, Joakim
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London
(where)
London
(when)
2019

Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ruist, Joakim
  • Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London

Time of origin

  • 2019

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