Arbeitspapier

Trade and welfare effects of a potential free trade agreement between Japan and the United States

This paper deals with the trade and welfare effects of a potential bilateral trade agreement between the US and Japan. A possible agreement is currently being discussed between Washington and Tokyo, although, there is also the alternative for the US government joining Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Based on the theoretical model of Caliendo and Parro (2015) I analyse the welfare gains of such a bilateral free trade agreement (FTA) in the style of Aichele et al. (2014). In particular, I simulate three scenarios with different levels of integration: The reduction of tariffs only, the scenario of a shallow FTA, and a deep FTA. In addition, the paper compares the trade and welfare changes of a deep FTA to the welfare effects of TPP. The findings are that Japan has the highest welfare gains with a FTA (0.085%), whilst the United States benefits the most from TPP with a welfare gain of 0.05%.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences ; No. 16-2018

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Empirical Studies of Trade
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Thema
Trade agreements
Gravity model
Counterfactual equilibrium
Intermediate goods
Input-output linkages
Japan
United States

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Walter, Timo
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Universität Hohenheim, Fakultät Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften
(wo)
Stuttgart
(wann)
2018

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:100-opus-15045
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Walter, Timo
  • Universität Hohenheim, Fakultät Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften

Entstanden

  • 2018

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