Arbeitspapier

Industry Dynamics over the Business Cycles

We develop a theoretical model of the dynamics of an industry over the business cycle. In the economy, both aggregate demand and the productivity of a firm's technology evolve stochastically. Each period, firms must choose whether to produce or to exit and attempt to sell off their resources to an entrant, so there is a non-trivial opportunity cost of production. We characterize the intertemporal evolution of the distribution of firms, where are distinguished by their capital in place and the productivity of their technology. We characterize exit rates by age, size and productivity. A useful social planner's characterization of the competitive equilibrium is provided. Predictions of our theoretical model are broadly consistent with observed cyclical patterns.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Queen's Economics Department Working Paper ; No. 935

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change; Industrial Price Indices
Thema
stochastic heterogencity
aggregate shocks
social planner
exit
capital in place
thin markets

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bergin, James
Bernhardt, Dan Bernhardt
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Queen's University, Department of Economics
(wo)
Kingston (Ontario)
(wann)
1996

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bergin, James
  • Bernhardt, Dan Bernhardt
  • Queen's University, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 1996

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