Arbeitspapier

House Prices, Local Demand, and Retail Prices

We use detailed micro data to document a causal response of local retail price to changes in house prices, with elasticities of 15%-20% across housing booms and busts. Notably, these price responses are largest in zip codes with many homeowners, and non-existent in zip codes with mostly renters. We provide evidence that these retail price responses are driven by changes in markups rather than by changes in local costs. We then argue that markups rise with house prices, particularly in high homeownership locations, because greater housing wealth reduces homeowners’ demand elasticity, and firms raise markups in response. Consistent with this explanation, shopping data confirms that house price changes have opposite effects on the price sensitivity of homeowners and renters. Our evidence has implications for monetary, labor, and urban economics, and suggests a new source of markup variation in business cycle models.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5607

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change; Industrial Price Indices
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Other Demand

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ströbel, Johannes
Vavra, Joseph
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ströbel, Johannes
  • Vavra, Joseph
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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