Arbeitspapier

The European debt crisis and fiscal reaction functions in Europe 2000 - 2012

After the global financial crisis, some governments in the EU experienced serious debt financing problems, while others were less affected. This paper seeks to shed light on the divergent fiscal performance by assessing the fiscal conduct in the EU countries before and after the outbreak of the crisis. Fiscal reaction functions of the primary balance are estimated for different groups of EU countries using quarterly data for the pre-crisis period 2001-2008 and for the post-crisis period 2009-2012. The pre-crisis estimations reveal some differences in persistence and cyclical reaction between different groups of countries, but generally little feedback from the debt stock to the primary balance. The countries that eventually developed fiscal problems do not stand out. The post-crisis estimations show less counter-cyclicality and much more feedback from the debt stock, and these reactions are particularly pronounced for the countries with severe fiscal problems.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1295

Classification
Wirtschaft
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Fiscal Policy
National Deficit; Surplus
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
fiscal reaction function
global financial crisis
debt crisis
structural break

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Baldi, Guido
Staehr, Karsten
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Baldi, Guido
  • Staehr, Karsten
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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