Arbeitspapier

External drivers of institutional change in Central Asia: Regional integration schemes and the role of Russia and China

Russia and China are assumed to challenge democratization and to promote autocracy. In a first step, we analyze Central Asia as the most-likely case, considering both Russia and China as relevant external actors. We develop a concept for our analysis based on the different strategies of Russia (dominance) and China (doing-business) towards the region and present the results of a qualitative study of the main dimensions of autocracy promotion with respect to regional and bilateral schemes. In a second step, we extend a previous framework (Melnykovska and Schweickert 2011) and provide econometric evidence based on a panel of post-socialist countries. We show that bilateral schems are (still) more relevant for external influences in Central Asia and that (unintentionally) China's doing-business approach may in fact promote institutional change. Arguably, democratization should not be a precondition for cooperation as in European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) but rather be promoted by sweeping economic cooperation incentives.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1763

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
International Relations and International Political Economy: Other
Subject
Central Asia
China
Russia
governance
regional integration
trade
minorities
military threat
Autoritäres System
Russland
China
Handelsregionalismus
Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
Governance-Ansatz
Demokratisierung
Zentralasien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Schweickert, Rainer
Melnykovska, Inna
Plamper, Hedwig
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Schweickert, Rainer
  • Melnykovska, Inna
  • Plamper, Hedwig
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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