Arbeitspapier

Displacement Effects in Manufacturing and Structural Change

We investigate the consequences of structural change for workers displaced from the manufacturing sector. Manufacturing establishments traditionally employed low- and high-wage workers in similar proportions and paid substantial wage premiums to both types of workers. Structural change has led to the disappearance of these jobs, particularly for low-wage workers. Decomposing displacement wage losses, we show that low-wage workers suffer considerable losses in establishment premiums following displacement, whereas high-wage workers tend to fall down the match quality ladder. With ongoing structural change, losses in wages and establishment premiums have increased over time, especially for low-wage workers, in part because they are increasingly forced to switch to low knowledge service jobs where establishment premiums are low. Our findings further highlight that structural change and layoffs in manufacturing have significantly contributed to job polarization and the rise in assortative matching of workers to firms.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CReAM Discussion Paper Series ; No. 13/23

Classification
Wirtschaft
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Subject
structural change
manufacturing decline
displaced workers
cost of job loss
human capital
firm rents

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Helm, Ines
Kuegler, Alice
Schoenberg, Uta
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London
(where)
London
(when)
2023

Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Helm, Ines
  • Kuegler, Alice
  • Schoenberg, Uta
  • Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London

Time of origin

  • 2023

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