Arbeitspapier

Systemic Risk in European Banking: Evidence from Bivariate GARCH Models

This paper attempts to assess the Europe-wide systemic risk in banking. We employ a bivariate GARCH model to estimate conditional correlations between European bank stock indices. These correlations are used as an indication for the interdependencies amongst the banking business in Europe and hence for the systemic risk potential. We employ several tests to assess the development of systemic risk: a non-parametric test of constancy of the correlation, a test of parallel shifts in the correlation at pre-specified events, and a test for a linear time trend in the correlations. The results show that many of the conditional correlations exhibit an upward move in the last years. This is an indication that the economic factors determining the European banking business have become more similar and that the systemic risk potential has increased.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 03-11

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Lending and Debt Problems
International Financial Markets
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Thema
systemic risk
banking
contagion
Europe
bivariate GARCH
Bankrisiko
Bank
Börsenkurs
Internationaler Preiszusammenhang
Spillover-Effekt
ARCH-Modell
Schätzung
EU-Staaten

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Schüler, Martin
Schröder, Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2003

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Schüler, Martin
  • Schröder, Michael
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Entstanden

  • 2003

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