Konferenzbeitrag

Is there a fertility paradox in Denmark?

Alike most of the Western world, the Danish fertility rate declined throughout the 20th century simultaneous to economic growth. This development, which conflicts with economic intuition, has been denoted the fertility paradox, and several studies have been devoted to resolve it. The present study analyzes the geographic variation across Danish municipalities in the fertility rate during the years 1982 to 2004. Several factors commonly believed to explain the variation in the fertility rate is found to be exerted to considerable regional variation. A model linking the fertility rate to several economic determinants is established and further modified to capture geographic small-area variation. A positive correlation between regional levels of income and fertility is found, which contradicts the fertility paradox. Thus, the necessity of separating small-area and dynamic variation, aiming at obtain a proper interpretation of the link between fertility and its determinants, is demonstrated.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: 55th Congress of the European Regional Science Association: "World Renaissance: Changing roles for people and places", 25-28 August 2015, Lisbon, Portugal

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Subject
Spatial econometrics
Demography
Fertility
Regional population variation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lauridsen, Jørgen T.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Regional Science Association (ERSA)
(where)
Louvain-la-Neuve
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Associated

  • Lauridsen, Jørgen T.
  • European Regional Science Association (ERSA)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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