Arbeitspapier

Institutions and business cycles

This paper investigates the relationship between the main business cycles features and the institutional and structural characteristics of countries in which they are observed. We derive the business cycle characteristics of the individual countries using the nonparametric Harding-Pagan approach. Our sample is comprised of 63 countries that includes industrial, emerging and formerly centrally planned economies from all continents. We correlate these characteristics with a wide range of macroeconomic, structural and institutional factors that have been hypothesized to affect macroeconomic outcomes. In our analysis, we also examine the determinants of business cycle synchronization for the countries in our sample. In contrast to earlier studies which seek to account for such synchronization using gravity arguments as well as trade intensity and bilateral financial linkages, we also consider the proximity of their institutional and policy environments.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 1109

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
institutions
business cycles
synchronization
nonparametric analysis
Konjunkturzusammenhang
Institutionelle Infrastruktur
Nichtparametrisches Verfahren
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Altug, Sumru
Emin, Mustafa
Neyapti, Bilin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Koç University-TÜSİAD Economic Research Forum (ERF)
(where)
Istanbul
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Altug, Sumru
  • Emin, Mustafa
  • Neyapti, Bilin
  • Koç University-TÜSİAD Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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