Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel

Una alternativa para estimar la exactitud de las encuestas

The intent of this paper is to present an alternative estimator to measure the accuracy of the polls and some derived estimators, which seeks to cushion problems detected in the available options. This is achieved by adjusting the value of the absolute differences according to the statistical error of the estimates and, to allow a symmetrical behavior of the indicator, to convert it into its logarithm. The expectation is that these estimators provide a useful tool for future analysis on the accuracy of pre-election polls.

Una alternativa para estimar la exactitud de las encuestas

Urheber*in: Peña, Ricardo de la

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Alternative title
An alternative to estimate the polls accuracy
ISSN
0188-7742
Extent
Seite(n): 123-156
Language
Spanisch
Notes
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)

Bibliographic citation
Política y Cultura(49)

Subject
Politikwissenschaft
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Wahlergebnis
Schätzung
Wahlforschung
Prognose

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Peña, Ricardo de la
Event
Veröffentlichung
(when)
2018

URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-59902-3
Rights
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Last update
21.06.2024, 4:27 PM CEST

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Object type

  • Zeitschriftenartikel

Associated

  • Peña, Ricardo de la

Time of origin

  • 2018

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