Will climate change benefit or hurt Russian grain production? A statistical evidence from a panel approach

Arbeitspapier

We conduct an examination of the climate effect to analyze the historical dependence of grain production on temperatures and precipitation levels, and project this dependence to estimate the productivity of different grain types in the mid- and long-terms, given four greenhouse gas concentration pathways. We find that altering temperatures have an equivocal effect on agriculture. The most productive zones of the southern black soil belt is projected to face considerable declines in yields, due to insufficient precipitation levels and high probability of heat waves during the summer vegetation period. The northern part, on the contrary, can experience increases in productivity as a result of milder and drier winters and warmer springs.

Object Details

• Alternative title: Wird der Klimawandel der russischen Getreideproduktion nutzen oder schaden? Statistische Evidenz auf der Grundlage eines Panel-Ansatzes
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 161

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets ; Agricultural R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services ; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming ; Collectives; Communes; Agriculture
• Subject: Russia ; grain production ; climate change ; Russland ; Getreideproduktion ; Klimawandel

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Belyaeva, Maria ; Bokusheva, Raushan
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO)
• (where): Halle (Saale)
• (when): 2017

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/155773
• URN: urn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-69113
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET