Arbeitspapier

Trade Intensity and Output Synchronisation: On the Endogeneity Properties of EMU

Using annual bilateral data over the period 1988-2011 for a panel of 24 industrialised and emerging economies, we analyse in a time-varying framework the determinants of output synchronisation in EMU (European Monetary Union) distinguishing between core and peripheral member states. The results support the specialisation paradigm rather than the endogeneity hypothesis. Evidence is found in the euro period of diverging patterns between the core and the peripheral EMU countries raising questions about the future stability of EMU.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4172

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade: General
Economic Integration
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General
Subject
output synchronisation
trade intensity
endogeneity
European Monetary Union (EMU)

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
De Santis, Roberta
Girardi, Alessandro
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • De Santis, Roberta
  • Girardi, Alessandro
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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