Arbeitspapier

Persistence in the Private Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Evidence from 43 OECD Countries

This paper investigates the degree of persistence of the private debt-to-GDP ratio in 43 OECE countries by estimating the fractional integration parameter of each series. Almost all of them are found to be highly persistent, with orders of integration around or above 1. The only exception is Argentina, where the series appears to be mean-reverting. These results highlight the key importance of macroprudential policy as one of the pillars of macro policy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8889

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Corporate Finance and Governance: General
Subject
persistence
fractional integration
private debt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Malmierca, Maria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
  • Malmierca, Maria
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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