Arbeitspapier

Persistent Marijuana Use: Evidence from the NLSY

We analyze persistence in marijuana consumption utilizing data from the 1997 cohort of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY97). We allow for three sources of persistence: pure state dependence, time invariant unobserved heterogeneity and persistence in idiosyncratic, time-varying shocks. We also consider intensity of consumption based on days of use per month and estimate a dynamic ordered Probit model using simulated Maximum Likelihood. We consider a Polya model that generalizes the more commonly used Markov models. The results show that there is a causal eect of previous use. However, ignoring unobserved heterogeneity and serially correlated shocks signicantly exaggerates the state dependence.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 16446

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Health Behavior
Thema
marijuana
persistence
state dependence
Polya model
unobserved heterogeneity
dynamic ordered probit
simulation
NLSY

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hansen, Jörgen
Davalloo, Golnaz
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hansen, Jörgen
  • Davalloo, Golnaz
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2023

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