Arbeitspapier

The effect of tax-benefit changes on the income distribution in EU countries since the beginning of the economic crisis

We compare the distributional effects of policy changes introduced in the period 2008-2013 in twelve EU countries using the EU microsimulation model EUROMOD. The countries, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, Romania and the UK, chose different policy mixes to achieve varying degrees of fiscal consolidation or expansion. We find that comparisons of the size and distributional effects of policy changes over time are sensitive to the counterfactual assumption that is adopted in adjusting 2008 policies for changes in prices and incomes over the period. Nevertheless, it is clear that the direct tax, public pension and cash benefit changes had broadly progressive effects across the pre-policy change income distributions, except in Germany, Estonia and Lithuania. Including increases in VAT alters the comparative picture by making the policy packages appear more regressive, to varying extents. The paper also explores the implications of the policy changes for measures of risk of poverty and examines the incidence of the changes by age.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: EUROMOD Working Paper ; No. EM9/14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
Social Security and Public Pensions
Subject
Tax-benefit policy reform
European Union
Income distribution
Microsimulation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
De Agostini, Paola
Paulus, Alari
Sutherland, Holly
Tasseva, Iva
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
(where)
Colchester
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • De Agostini, Paola
  • Paulus, Alari
  • Sutherland, Holly
  • Tasseva, Iva
  • University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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