Arbeitspapier

The relationship between exchange rates and international trade: A literature review

This paper surveys a wide body of economic literature on the relationship between currencies and trade. Specifically, two main issues are investigated: the impact on international trade of exchange rate volatility and of currency misalignments. On average, exchange rate volatility has a negative (even if not large) impact on trade flows. The extent of this effect depends on a number of factors, including the existence of hedging instruments, the structure of production (e.g. the prevalence of small firms), and the degree of economic integration across countries. The second issue involves exchange rate misalignments, which are predicted to have short-run effects in models with price rigidities. However, the exact impact depends on a number of features, such as the pricing strategy of firms engaging in international trade and the importance of global production networks. This effect is predicted to disappear in the long-run, unless some other distortion characterizes the economy. Empirical results confirm that short-run effects can exist, but their size and persistence over time are not consistent across different studies.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3868

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade: General
Foreign Exchange
International Institutional Arrangements
Subject
exchange rates
volatility
misalignments
international trade flows
Wechselkurs
Außenwirtschaft
Volatilität

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Auboin, Marc
Ruta, Michele
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Auboin, Marc
  • Ruta, Michele
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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