Arbeitspapier

Firm-to-firm relationships and the pass-through of shocks: Theory and evidence

Economists have long suspected that firm-to-firm relationships might lower the responsiveness of prices to shocks due to the use of fixed-price contracts. Using transaction-level U.S. import data, I show that the pass-through of exchange rate shocks in fact rises as a relationship grows older. Based on novel stylized facts about a relationship's life cycle, I develop a model of relationship dynamics in which a buyer-seller pair accumulates relationship capital to lower production costs under limited commitment. The structurally estimated model generates countercyclical markups and countercyclical pass-through of shocks through variation in the economy's rate of relationship creation, which falls in recessions.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 896

Classification
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Empirical Studies of Trade
Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation; Networks
Subject
prices
exchange rate
supply chain
trade relationships

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Heise, Sebastian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 12:03 PM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Heise, Sebastian
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2019

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