Arbeitspapier

Cost Overrun at the Norwegian Continental Shelf: The Element of Surprise

We examine drivers of cost overruns in Norwegian development projects in the oil and gas sector. The multivariate longitudinal econometric analysis employs a unique and detailed dataset consisting of 80 different projects between 2000 and 2015. Among the significant results, we find that the unexpected change in economic activity has a positive effect on the overruns; there is a considerable positive momentum in the transitional cost overruns; more experienced operators tend to incur less overruns; finally, that the size of the investment of the projects has a positive impact on the overruns. Further, we find evidence that the current economic activity matters to an extent, but it is the unexpected change in activity that is the pivotal factor.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5886

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Model Construction and Estimation
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
Thema
cost overrun
cost estimation
estimation error

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Oglend, Atle
Osmundsen, Petter
Lorentzen, Sindre
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Oglend, Atle
  • Osmundsen, Petter
  • Lorentzen, Sindre
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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