Arbeitspapier

Journey into the unknown? Economic consequences of factor market integration under increasing returns to scale

What are the dynamic consequences of comprehensive integration shocks? The answer to this question appears all but trivial. We set up a dynamic macroeconomic model of a small open economy where both capital and labor are mobile and there are increasing returns to scale at the aggregate level. The model features multiple equilibria as well as (local and global) indeterminacy. Hence, expectations matter for resulting equilibrium dynamics. Despite its simplicity, the model creates a rich set of plausible implications. Our analysis contributes to a better understanding of the interaction between expectations and fundamentals in models with indeterminacy. The model is applied to replicate two striking empirical characteristics of macroeconomic development in East Germany since 1991.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 107

Classification
Wirtschaft
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: General‡
International Factor Movements and International Business: General
Economic Development: General
Subject
Increasing returns to scale
Capital mobility
Migration
Multiple equilibria
Indeterminacy
History vs. expectations
Kleines-offenes-Land
Wirtschaftsintegration
Kapitalmobilität
Arbeitsmobilität
Skalenertrag
Makroökonomischer Einfluss
Theorie
Wirtschaftliche Anpassung
Neue Bundesländer

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Schäfer, Andreas
Steger, Thomas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Universität Leipzig, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
(where)
Leipzig
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Schäfer, Andreas
  • Steger, Thomas
  • Universität Leipzig, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät

Time of origin

  • 2012

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