Arbeitspapier

An investigation into the 1999 collapse of the Brazilian Real

This study argues that the political considerations were an important factor behind the crisis of the Brazilian real in January 1999. The divided coalition government and a president facing impending elections eschewed the correction of external misalignments and the fiscal austerity at a time when the markets were already excited by the 1997-98 East Asian and 1998 Russian financial crises. The hypothesis is established after confirming the vulnerability of Brazilian economy to currency crisis through Masson's model of multiple equilibrium and then it is tested by running a maximum likelihood logit regression.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 304

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Währungskrise
Wechselkurs
Politische Stabilität
Schätzung
Brasilien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Saqib, Omar F.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Saqib, Omar F.
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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