Arbeitspapier

Vulnerable growth in the euro area: Measuring the financial conditions

This paper examines which measures of financial conditions are informative about the tail risks to output growth in the euro area. The Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress (CISS) is more informative than indicators focusing on narrower segments of financial markets or their simple aggregation in the principal component. Conditionally on the CISS one can reproduce for the euro area the stylized facts known from the US, such as the strong negative correlation between conditional mean and conditional variance that generates stable upper quantiles and volatile lower quantiles of output growth.

ISBN
978-92-899-4375-8
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2458

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Thema
downside risk
macro-financial linkages
quantile regression

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Figueres, Juan Manuel
Jaroci´nski, Marek
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.2866/903796
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Figueres, Juan Manuel
  • Jaroci´nski, Marek
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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